TEHRAN (Bazaar) –Nader Entessar, Professor Emeritus of Political Science from university of South Alabama says that If Joe Biden is unwilling or unable to come to an agreement with Iran now, he will be in a weaker position several months from now as the mid-term congressional elections near, and a distinct possibility that the Democratic Party will lose control of both the Senate and the House of Representatives after this November's election.
“I am not optimistic about the prospects of Mr. Mora's latest attempts to revive the JCPOA,” Entessar told Bazaar.
Following is the full text of the Bazaar interview with Professor Entessar:
Bazaar: The Wall Street Journal quoted Western diplomats as saying that the European Union had offered to send Enrique Mora to break the deadlock in the negotiations to revive the JCPOA. What is your assessment of this trip?
Entessar: We have traversed this road many times before. Unless Enrique Mora has a dramatically different proposal than what the EU and Europeans have been pushing, I am not optimistic about the prospects of Mr. Mora's latest attempts to revive the JCPOA.
Bazaar: According to this newspaper, Mora wants to convince Iran to sign the agreement ‘now’ without removing the IRGC from U.S Foreign Terrorist Organizations (FTOs), and Tehran has not yet responded to accepting this trip. Will Tehran agree to this trip and offer?
Entessar: If what the Wall Street Journal is reporting is true, I am not sure if Iran will agree to rehash what the US has already conveyed to Iran many times before via the European intermediaries. Again, this is reflective of Washington's desire to have its cake and eat it too.
Bazaar: Does the word ‘now’ mean signing an agreement on nuclear issues and holding separate talks on the IRGC?
Entessar: It sounds like it. Holding a separate round of talks after Iran concedes to Washington's terms is a recipe that will get nowhere but to another unending series of dead-end talks and undeliverable pie in the sky promises by the US.
Bazaar: The newspaper also reported that the current stalemate in the talks could last for months. What does this mean? That is, the parties may fall short of their positions?
Bazaar: The United States set a deadline at the beginning of the negotiations, but does not set a deadline now. What is the reason for this?
Entessar: After Iran called Washington's bluff, the US recognized that setting deadlines and issuing ultimatums were counterproductive. Also, the Biden administration recognizes that it is in a tenuous position domestically, and signing an agreement with Iran will be used by its opponents to further portray Biden as ‘weak’ and showing ‘weakness’ towards Iran is tantamount to a political ‘kiss of death’ for any US politician.
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