TEHRAN (Bazaar) –Nader Entessar, Professor Emeritus of Political Science from university of South Alabama says that the Biden administration's foreign policy tunnel vision with its Cold War-era provocations, may lead to a dangerous new phase in Sino-American relations.
“The Taiwan issue has long been the most important red line for China, and Biden and his foreign policy team have developed policies that in Chinese views are considered provocative and dangerously close to China's red line regarding Taiwan,” Entessar told Bazaar.
Following is the full text of the Bazaar interview with Professor Entessar:
Q: Can we hope for the end of the war in Ukraine in 2023?
A: Absent a major unpredictable development in either Russia or Ukraine, I think the war in Ukraine will continue throughout much of 2023. As is true in most wars, we may see ups and downs in the Ukraine war, but the divide separating the sides, including the conflict between Russia and NATO, still remains wide.
Q: One of the most important issues in the changing world order is the containment of China by America. Is it possible that the tensions between these two countries will enter an intense phase in 2023? For example, in the issue of Taiwan, will the conflicts enter a more serious phase?
A: It appears that the Biden administration's foreign policy tunnel vision with its Cold War-era provocations, may lead to a dangerous new phase in Sino-American relations. The Taiwan issue has long been the most important red line for China, and Biden and his foreign policy team have developed policies that in Chinese views are considered provocative and dangerously close to China's red line regarding Taiwan.
Q: What is the prediction for the global economy in 2023? Will we see the end of the Covid 19 and the growth of the global economy?
A: If one considers the latest predictions of economic growth by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank, and if no major global upheaval occurs, there will be modest growth in the global economy in 2023.
Q: What is your prediction of the future of nuclear negotiations with Iran known as JCPOA? Will we see the revival of the JCPOA in 2023?
A: I don't see the full revival of the JCPOA in the near future. Although all sides still pay lip service to the JCPOA, it is clear that reviving the Iran nuclear deal in its original form is no longer attainable. The conditions that led to the signing of the 2015 agreement have changed. Besides, it has become increasingly clear that the Western parties to the JCPOA have no intention of fulfilling their obligations and still see the nuclear deal as a mechanism to demand largely one-way concessions from Iran without obligating themselves to a meaningful and long-term deal.
Q: In your opinion, what political or economic developments may occur in 2023 that will affect the world?
A: It is hard to predict a single political or economic development that may affect the world in 2023, but several things can happen over time that may have negative global consequences. They include a recession in major Western economies, further sociopolitical polarization in Europe and the United States, a war in West or East Asia, NATO's aggressive military expansion, and the like.
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